Our publications

Showing: All publications

Found 13319 items

Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: Dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems

28 January, 2013

I review the hierarchy of approaches to complex systems, focusing particularly on stochastic equations. I discuss how the main models advocated by the late Benoit Mandelbrot fit into this classification,…

Read more on Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: Dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems

Transcriptome of the dead: characterisation of immune genes and marker development from necropsy samples in a free-ranging marine mammal

24 January, 2013 by Jaume Forcada, Michael Thorne, Philip Trathan

Background Transcriptomes are powerful resources, providing a window on the expressed portion of the genome that can be generated rapidly and at low cost for virtually any organism. However, because…

Read more on Transcriptome of the dead: characterisation of immune genes and marker development from necropsy samples in a free-ranging marine mammal

Multiple-colony winter habitat use by murres Uria spp. in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean: implications for marine risk assessment

9 January, 2013 by Richard Phillips

Limited knowledge of year-round seabird distributions hinders efforts to assess consequences of anthropogenic threats and climate-induced changes in the marine environment. In particular, there is urgent need to understand how…

Read more on Multiple-colony winter habitat use by murres Uria spp. in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean: implications for marine risk assessment

Behavioural mapping of a pelagic seabird: combining multiple sensors and a hidden Markov model reveals the distribution of at-sea behaviour

6 January, 2013 by Richard Phillips

The use of miniature data loggers is rapidly increasing our understanding of the movements and habitat preferences of pelagic seabirds. However, objectively interpreting behavioural information from the large volumes of…

Read more on Behavioural mapping of a pelagic seabird: combining multiple sensors and a hidden Markov model reveals the distribution of at-sea behaviour

Antarctic Thresholds – Ecosystem Resilience and Adaptation” (AnT-ERA), a new SCAR-biology programme

1 January, 2013 by Eugene Murphy, Lloyd Peck, Thomas Bracegirdle

Stresses on Antarctic ecosystems result from environmental change, including extreme events, and from (other) human impacts. Consequently, Antarctic habitats are changing, some at a rapid pace while others are relatively…

Read more on Antarctic Thresholds – Ecosystem Resilience and Adaptation” (AnT-ERA), a new SCAR-biology programme

Combining ice core records and ice sheet models to explore the evolution of the East Antarctic Ice sheet during the Last Interglacial period

1 January, 2013 by Eric Wolff

This study evaluates the influence of plausible changes in East Antarctic Ice sheet (EAIS) thickness and the subsequent glacio-isostatic response as a contributor to the Antarctic warming indicated by ice…

Read more on Combining ice core records and ice sheet models to explore the evolution of the East Antarctic Ice sheet during the Last Interglacial period

Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole

1 January, 2013 by Andrew Orr, Howard Roscoe, Scott Hosking, Thomas Bracegirdle

A model simulation forced by prescribed ozone depletion shows strong dynamical modulation of the springtime cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. The authors find that…

Read more on Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole

An unusual hermaphrodite reproductive trait in the Antarctic brooding bivalve Lissarca miliaris (Philobryidae) from the Scotia Sea, Southern Ocean

1 January, 2013 by Katrin Linse

The Antarctic marine environment is extreme in its low temperatures and short periods of primary productivity. Invertebrates must therefore adapt to maximise reproductive output where low temperature and limited food…

Read more on An unusual hermaphrodite reproductive trait in the Antarctic brooding bivalve Lissarca miliaris (Philobryidae) from the Scotia Sea, Southern Ocean

How do cephalopods become available to seabirds: can fish gut contents from tuna fishing vessels be a major food source of deep-dwelling cephalopods?

1 January, 2013

Cephalopods are important prey for numerous seabird species. However, the physical mechanisms by which cephalopods (particularly species considered as deep-dwelling) become available to seabirds are poorly understood, and it has…

Read more on How do cephalopods become available to seabirds: can fish gut contents from tuna fishing vessels be a major food source of deep-dwelling cephalopods?

Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections

19 December, 2012 by Thomas Bracegirdle

This study presents projections of twenty-first century wintertime surface temperature changes over the high-latitude regions based on the third Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP3) multi-model ensemble. The state-dependence of the…

Read more on Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections

The effect of energetic electron precipitation on middle mesospheric night-time ozone during and after a moderate geomagnetic storm

19 December, 2012 by David Newnham

Using a ground-based microwave radiometer at Troll Station, Antarctica (72°S, 2.5°E, L = 4.76), we have observed a decrease of 20–70% in the mesospheric ozone, coincident with increased nitric oxide,…

Read more on The effect of energetic electron precipitation on middle mesospheric night-time ozone during and after a moderate geomagnetic storm

Dietary variation in chick-feeding and self-provisioning Cape Petrel Daption capense and Snow Petrel Pagodroma nivea at Signy Island, South Orkney Islands, Antarctica

17 December, 2012 by Philip Trathan

Food web knowledge is a prerequisite for adequate resource management in the Antarctic ecosystem. Accurate dietary specifications for the major consumers within the Antarctic ecosystem are needed. Procellariid species are…

Read more on Dietary variation in chick-feeding and self-provisioning Cape Petrel Daption capense and Snow Petrel Pagodroma nivea at Signy Island, South Orkney Islands, Antarctica

Southern Weddell Sea shelf edge geomorphology: Implications for gully formation by the overflow of high-salinity water

1 December, 2012 by Deb Shoosmith, Claus-Dieter Hillenbrand, Robert Larter

Submarine gullies are the most common morphological features observed on Antarctic continental slopes. The processes forming these gullies, however, remain poorly constrained. In some areas, gully heads incise the continental…

Read more on Southern Weddell Sea shelf edge geomorphology: Implications for gully formation by the overflow of high-salinity water

Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios

1 December, 2012 by Andrew Meijers, Emily Shuckburgh, Jean-Baptiste Sallee, Thomas Bracegirdle

The representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) in the fifth Coupled Models Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) is generally improved over CMIP3. The range of modeled transports in the historical (1976–2006)…

Read more on Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios

A compilation of parameters for a krill-fishery predator model of the Scotia Sea and Antarctic Peninsula (working paper version)

2 April, 2012 by Sally Thorpe, Simeon Hill

We describe the compilation and derivation of parameters for use in krill-fishery-predator models of the Scotia Sea – Antarctic Peninsula region. The primary aim is to provide input for the…

Read more on A compilation of parameters for a krill-fishery predator model of the Scotia Sea and Antarctic Peninsula (working paper version)